Escalation & Market Risk

Today's price is not the price you will pay.

Between the estimate and the buyout, the market moves. Set when the work is bought and how much of the cost is still open, and we model the escalation your uncommitted cost carries, and how much locking the price earlier would save. Free, private to your browser.

1 Your project
2 Timing & market
3 Escalation exposure
4 Branded review

Your project

$

Timing & market

0
0
0%
The portion of the cost already on a fixed price. Only the open balance escalates.
% / yr
--%
Escalation exposure
Modelling

Building your escalation position

Set the timing and market on the left. Results update as you go.

Escalation exposure
$0
on the open balance
Of value
--
as a share of build
Exposed cost
$0
not yet locked
Time to midpoint
--
today to spend midpoint

Escalation exposure

Forecast escalation as a share of construction value.

Exposure vs when you lock the price

The escalation that accrues by the time you fix the price. Green marker is your planned buyout.

Escalation by market scenario

The same timing under a calm, expected, and volatile market.
CostWitness

Turn this into a senior review.

Get this model as a branded CostWitness report, and open a private space to share your schedule and procurement plan for an independent read of where the price is still exposed before the GMP.

The tools

All six calculators.

Every card opens a working calculator. Free, no account needed to start.

Monte CarloContingency Model

Rank your exposures by dollar impact, run a Monte Carlo simulation, and see the exact percentile your contingency actually covers, with a branded report to print.

Open the tool Score out of 100Pre-GMP Readiness Score

Six plain questions on price, allowances, contingency, schedule, interfaces and clarifications. Score how ready your GMP package is to sign.

Open the tool The patternCost Influence Curve

See where the project sits on the cost influence curve, and how much power over cost you still have before the window closes.

Open the tool By causeChange Order Exposure

Open items by cause classification. Output: owner cost and contractor cost, split, with the unclassified value shown in the flag color.

Open the tool Your rates, not oursEscalation and Market Risk

Unbought packages by US region with the escalation rate you enter. Output: exposure on the unbought scope against the escalation allowance carried.

Open the tool Critical pathSchedule Risk versus Float

Critical path activities, float in days, monthly general conditions. Output: how many activities carry zero float and what a month of delay costs under the contract.

Open the tool